Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.315864 20.142787 23.233568 26.856719 30.980230 35.519638 40.887640
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.522872 16.346132 20.962090 26.911312 34.337769 43.261453 54.750826
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.522648 13.639076 19.017455 26.482716 36.486411 49.326754 66.935020
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.421819 11.514828 17.235168 25.685204 37.692657 53.957144 77.423470
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.134189 10.208449 16.245964 25.654222 39.704817 59.614442 89.575932
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.216157 9.251476 15.555201 25.857379 41.931955 65.623075 102.597977
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.137391 7.826794 13.903756 24.316663 41.279433 67.256287 109.252057
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.713233 7.417098 13.794760 25.160526 44.343019 74.651267 125.066430
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.441573 7.224835 14.007087 26.528819 48.341539 83.773690 144.212231
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.920695 6.473667 13.127929 25.890051 48.885775 87.353952 154.734524
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.409971 5.647559 11.987296 24.622411 48.172795 88.737006 161.675540
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.293338 5.609931 12.329716 26.119120 52.485718 98.907046 184.025610
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.212855 5.660201 12.895717 28.195649 58.223303 112.280290 213.379122
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.949813 5.260145 12.504726 28.374168 60.482944 119.800526 233.303122
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.675151 4.775846 11.860260 27.948731 61.522144 125.183065 249.821054
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.414474 4.267447 11.077650 27.116262 61.636959 128.813041 263.350778
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.245124 3.956575 10.692138 27.084673 63.359346 135.598629 283.217751
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.112769 3.716299 10.433886 27.298175 65.601351 143.544123 305.826467
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.905502 3.212554 9.444012 25.680262 63.716588 143.116035 312.111595
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.843073 3.126385 9.502330 26.566495 67.439386 154.325842 342.170351
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.808718 3.120814 9.772180 28.003172 72.537034 168.735470 379.587598
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.696521 2.834671 9.233443 27.332528 72.697746 172.764168 396.047515
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.578163 2.494452 8.481382 26.001385 71.147107 172.980956 404.568472